2015 Lake Opeongo Ice-out Poll

***Please note that Ontario Parks has issued a Special Advisory for backcountry travel due an anticipated late ice out. Ice thickness measured last week at Lake Opeongo was 64 centimetres (25").*** Once again, we have had an extremely cold winter with this past month being the coldest February on record in some locations (Ottawa) and the coldest month ever in others (Toronto). Now that warmer temperatures seem to be on the horizon our thoughts are turning to the upcoming field season and we are once again asking the question: "When can we get out on the water!?" Ice-out records collected since 1964 show the earliest recorded ice-out date for Lake Opeongo as March 29 (2012) and the latest date as May 15 (1972). The average ice-out date over the last 50 years is April 27. The chart below  of the last 50 years of ice-out data shows a trend towards earlier ice-out. We suspect this year may late once again. IceOut_2014 Last year we ran an ice-out poll to ask your opinion as to when we might see Lake Opeongo open up. Only three people guessed the correct date of May 07. The earliest a person guessed May 7 was on April 21. As the graph below  shows, not surprisingly, the closer we get to ice-out, the better people are at predicting the date! The red line in the graph shows the actual 2014 ice-out date. IceOutPredictions_2014 What day do you think the ice will be out on Opeongo? Let us know via the poll below and leave a comment with your pick, we'll select a random respondent and mail a coveted Harkness hat to them! You need to leave a comment to be in the draw for a hat!! Don't worry, we will never share your email with anyone else... After you vote don't forget to check out some of the great work the Harkness crew has been up to via out photo galleries!

So when do you think ice out day on Lake Opeongo will be this year?

  • May 2, 2015 (10%, 11 Votes)
  • May 3, 2015 (8%, 9 Votes)
  • May 5, 2015 (8%, 9 Votes)
  • May 8, 2015 (7%, 8 Votes)
  • May 4, 2015 (7%, 8 Votes)
  • April 30, 2015 (7%, 8 Votes)
  • May 1, 2015 (7%, 8 Votes)
  • May 7, 2015 (7%, 7 Votes)
  • April 29, 2015 (6%, 6 Votes)
  • May 10, 2015 (6%, 6 Votes)
  • May 9, 2015 (5%, 5 Votes)
  • April 27, 2015 (5%, 5 Votes)
  • April 28, 2015 (3%, 3 Votes)
  • April 26, 2015 (3%, 3 Votes)
  • April 25, 2015 (3%, 3 Votes)
  • April 23, 2015 (3%, 3 Votes)
  • May 6, 2015 (1%, 1 Votes)
  • April 19, 2015 (1%, 1 Votes)
  • April 20, 2015 (1%, 1 Votes)
  • April 21, 2015 (1%, 1 Votes)
  • April 22, 2015 (1%, 1 Votes)
  • April 24, 2015 (0%, 0 Votes)
  • April 18, 2015 (0%, 0 Votes)
  • April 17, 2015 (0%, 0 Votes)
  • April 16, 2015 (0%, 0 Votes)
  • April 15, 2015 (0%, 0 Votes)

Total Voters: 107

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